Calculateur de panneaux solaires

Solar Panel Calculator

This solar panel calculator estimates how many panels you need, the total system size in kilowatts, annual energy production, cost savings, and return on investment. Enter your monthly electricity consumption, peak sun hours, panel wattage, and costs to get a complete solar feasibility analysis for your home or business. Solar sizing requires balancing panel count, roof space, shading losses, and budget — this calculator gives you a baseline number to work from before contacting installers or running a detailed shade analysis.

How Solar System Sizing Works

The core calculation determines the DC system capacity needed to match your annual electricity consumption:

System Size (kW) = Annual kWh Usage / (Peak Sun Hours/day x 365 days x System Efficiency)

System efficiency (typically 0.75-0.80) accounts for real-world losses: inverter conversion (4-6% loss), wiring resistance (1-2% loss), temperature derating (5-10% in hot climates), panel mismatch (1-2%), and soiling (1-3%). The number of panels is:

Panel Count = System Size (W) / Panel Wattage

Annual production and savings are estimated as:

Annual kWh = System Size (kW) x Peak Sun Hours/day x 365 x System Efficiency

Annual Savings ($) = Annual kWh x Electricity Rate ($/kWh)

Worked Examples

A homeowner in Austin, Texas uses 1,100 kWh/month (13,200 kWh/year). With 5.5 peak sun hours per day and 78% system efficiency, the required system size is 13,200 / (5.5 x 365 x 0.78) = 8.44 kW. Using 400W panels, that is 8,440 / 400 = 21.1, so 22 panels. At $3.00/watt installed, the gross cost is $25,320 and after the 30% federal ITC ($7,596), the net cost is $17,724. At $0.14/kWh, the system saves about $1,848/year, giving a payback period of 9.6 years.

A family in Seattle, Washington uses 800 kWh/month (9,600 kWh/year). Seattle averages 3.8 peak sun hours per day. System size = 9,600 / (3.8 x 365 x 0.77) = 8.99 kW — nearly 9 kW needed to offset the same consumption as a house in a sunnier location. At 400W panels, that is 23 panels. The lower sun hours mean more panels and higher cost per kWh offset compared to Phoenix or Austin, making a partial-offset system (covering 70-80% of consumption) a more practical target.

A small business in Phoenix, Arizona has an office using 2,500 kWh/month (30,000 kWh/year). Phoenix gets 6.5 peak sun hours per day. System size = 30,000 / (6.5 x 365 x 0.80) = 15.8 kW. Using 440W premium panels, that is 15,800 / 440 = 36 panels. The business has 7,200 sq ft of flat commercial roof with no shading, so space is not a constraint. At $2.75/watt for commercial installation and a 30% ITC, the net cost is $30,415. At $0.12/kWh, annual savings are $3,600, yielding an 8.4-year payback.

Reference Table

When to Use This Calculator

• You want a rough system size and cost estimate before scheduling appointments with solar installers
• You are comparing different panel wattages (350W vs. 400W vs. 440W) and want to see how panel efficiency changes the panel count and roof footprint
• You are evaluating whether to size a system for 80% offset vs. 100% offset and want to see the cost and payback difference
• You are planning ahead for an EV or heat pump and want to factor in increased future electricity consumption when sizing the system now
• You need a quick sanity check on an installer’s proposed system size before signing a contract

Common Mistakes to Avoid

1. Using monthly kWh from a single atypical month. A summer month with heavy AC use or a winter month with electric heat can be 2x the average. Pull a full 12-month usage history from your utility account and use the annual total divided by 12 for a representative monthly average.
2. Applying the wrong peak sun hours. Peak sun hours are not daylight hours — they represent the equivalent hours of full 1,000 W/m^2 irradiance. Boston averages 4.2 peak sun hours, not 10 hours of daylight. Using daylight hours instead of peak sun hours will dramatically undersize the system.
3. Ignoring shading losses. A system with 15% shading during peak hours can lose 25-35% of annual production if string inverters are used, because one shaded panel pulls down the whole string. If your roof has partial shading, use microinverters or DC power optimizers and derate the production estimate accordingly.
4. Forgetting future load growth. If you plan to add an EV (adds 3,000-5,000 kWh/year), a heat pump (replaces gas, adding 2,000-4,000 kWh/year), or a pool pump, sizing for today’s load means the system will cover less of your bill within 2-3 years. Consider sizing up by 20-30% for anticipated load growth.

Real-World Applications

Solar sizing calculations drive decisions for residential homeowners, commercial building owners, and utility-scale developers. A homeowner uses this calculator to enter their current bill data and get a system size before collecting installer quotes, making it easier to spot quotes that propose oversized or undersized systems. Contractors use load calculations to design systems that meet utility net metering limits (some utilities cap at 110% of annual consumption). Commercial solar developers size rooftop or carport systems for office buildings and warehouses, balancing roof area with system capacity to maximize production within the available footprint. Agricultural operations calculate solar array sizes to offset irrigation pump loads, which are well-defined and predictable.

Tips

1. Pull a 12-month kWh history from your utility bill or online account — a single month’s data produces a sizing error of up to 50% in the wrong direction
2. The 30% federal Investment Tax Credit (ITC) applies to both equipment and installation costs; it reduces the net cost directly against your tax liability, not as a deduction
3. Roof orientation matters: a true south-facing roof at your latitude angle produces 100% of rated annual energy; east or west-facing roofs produce 80-90%; north-facing roofs are typically not viable
4. Get quotes from at least three installers and compare cost per watt installed, not just the total price — quotes on different system sizes are not directly comparable
5. If your roof has shading from trees or adjacent buildings between 9am-3pm, microinverters add $0.15-0.25/watt but recover production losses that would otherwise reduce annual output by 15-30%
6. Battery storage (a 13.5 kWh Powerwall costs roughly $12,000-$15,000 installed) extends payback by 3-5 years but provides grid independence and backup power — worth considering in areas with frequent outages or high time-of-use peak rates above $0.35/kWh